one.point.zero - Colin O'Brien's weblog

What we are seeing in this desperate horse-trading is the endgame of the oil age

Saudis pumping more oil is a stopgap.

Nothing new but an accurate snapshot of the oil situation at this time. Love the quote from the IEA.

I’m always trying to explain to people who think hydrogen is the magic fuel of the future that it’s just a storage medium, not an energy source. This clear description is now bookmarked.

Use the fuse to switch off energy-wasting shop signage at night. Seems a bit self-righteous to me but the on/off photos are nice.

Driving is the cultural anomaly of our moment.

Only 2 generations old.

The body heat from commuters passing through Stockholm Central Station each day will be used to heat a new office building nearby.

Low-cost film solar panels are now a reality, bringing costs in line with coal generation.

Potential future energy sources for Europe: a string of giant solar power stations along the Mediterranean desert shores and a a 5,000-mile wind-powered electricity supergrid, stretching from Siberia to Morocco and Egypt to Iceland.

The reports keep coming in on upcoming energy shortages and water scarcity but the world seems to happily truck on in complete denial.

Cape Wind

A Europe-wide wind-powered electricity grid could be in our future.

Interesting article on the city of Vaxjo in Sweden where fossil fuels are on their way out.

The United Nations say clean energy could provide almost a quarter of the world’s electricity by 2030. Many are sceptical.

It reminds me of the way no one would listen for years to scientists warning about global warming

Jeremy Leggert on peak oil

The Association for the Study of Peak Oil has a Belgian branch (a French-speaking one anyway).

this longing for 'solutions', strikes me as a free-floating wish for magical rescue remedies, for techno-fixes that will allow us to make a hassle-free switch from fossil hydrocarbon power to something less likely to destroy the Earth's ecosystems

Kunstler on wishful thinking

Nuclear power plants requires massive amounts of cool water and, in the face of global warming, they could be vulnerable.

Belgian bus builder Van Hool has introduced a hydrogen-powered bus. It’s subsidised like crazy though, so it remains to see when we’ll spot a fleet of them somewhere.

Screw the incandescent lightbulb

One of the comments I get about this site is that I point at lots of things going on elsewhere but don’t talk much about my own impact on the environment. It’s true, but telling people I cycle everywhere, that my washing machine has a AAA label or that I’m practically vegan doesn’t make for very interesting reading unless you’re a stalker.

There are, however, some steps I’ve taken that could be of interest. One of them being the quest for energy-efficient light sources after moving in to an apartment who’s only form of lighting consisted of 50 Watt GU10 halogen downlighters in every single room. The living-room alone was pulling a juicy 300 Watts.

The standard replacement for traditional screw-in filament bulbs these days are compact fluorescents (CFL) which you can find absolutely everywhere. They’ve advanced enough that many of them (the ones you pay more for, usually) have a colour temperature practically the same as Edison’s classic. The only minor annoyance still being the warm-up time, which at the current rate of improvement won’t even be noticeable soon.

Gu10 CflThis technology is also available in GU10 format so my first experiment was placing 6 of them into the living room ceiling sockets. The models I purchased were from Megaman and are available in most DIY stores (in Belgium anyway). There’s a 7 Watt and a 9 Watt model, I opted for the former with a colour temperature of 2700K (closest to the classic bulb). The light is slightly whiter but only really noticeable if you compare it to a traditional halogen in the same room, the biggest difference is that the beam is wider, so you don’t get the patterns on the wall that halogens often make. To be honest, the halogens that were there originally did give off a nicer light, but the difference is small enough compared to the positive environmental and financial impacts that we can happily live with it. The amount of light also seems equivalent to what the 50W halogens were outputting.

Gu10 LedsNext up was the small corridor between the bedroom and bathroom. As there wasn’t a need for much light there, I decided to try something different and place downlighters made up of 21 blue leds each for a total power consumption of 2 Watts. I guess you could describe the light there as “blue moonlight”. You can see where you’re going but don’t expect to read a book in there. We quite like it, especially when we have to walk through there bleary-eyed in the middle of the night. It might not work everywhere, but the walls are white and the design minimal so it all fits together quite well. I can’t recall the brand I used, but you can find similar lamps in many DIY stores too.

Gu10 Cold cathodeThe bathroom was the scene of yet another experiment: cold cathode lamps (CCFL). These are actually a little less efficient than compact fluorescents. Their lifetime, on the other hand, is 50.000 hours compared to the 15.000 of a CFL (or the 1000 of a traditional bulb) and they can be turned on and off for short periods of time which is often the case in a bathroom. The ones I purchased advertise a power consumption of 5 Watts and a colour temperature of 2700K. Colour-wise, I’d say they’re closer to 3500 or 4000K, the light is neon-white, fine for a bathroom, but I wouldn’t want them anywhere else. As far as the amount of light goes, they’re each equivalent to a 20 or 25 Watt halogen, perfect for taking a shower but make sure you have extra lighting over the mirror for shaving or applying makeup.

Gu10 LuxeonAnd, last but not least, the strangest of them all: the 1W Luxeon LED. The luxeon is one of the most powerful LEDs on the market, I have one in my bike light and normal LED lamps on other bikes look like their battery is about to run out when compared to it. And yes, it’s also available in a GU10 fitting. Obviously, you’re not going to get a huge amount of light from one of these, they’ll usually be found lighting up a painting or a sculpture, but I decided to try them in my office anyway. I just need a bit of background lighting when I’m using the computer so as not to work in complete darkness. If I need more light, I have a floor lamp with a CFL in it. For that use, the luxeon does the job perfectly. The light is warm but feeble, just enough to find my way through all my rubbish to my chair or see what keys my fingers are typing on. This won’t be everyone’s cup of tea, but if you tend to hack through the night behind your monitor, they might just do the trick. I haven’t seen them in many shops, but they’re available in plenty of online stores.

There you go, I hope that helped someone out there. I admit some of it is early-adopter stuff, but someone’s got to do it * cough*.

If you have questions or comments, shoot...

Why was The Great Global Warming Swindle so persuasive? Indeed, I regularly see people using that show as an excuse to keep the energy squandering utopia alive.

A screen saver for Windows computers that helps reduce your power consumption and CO2 emissions. Every little bit helps…

Cheap solar power may be a reality within the next few years.

When you integrate all these people and all these activities and the struggle to make a living, total productivity increases

Cities are wealth generators

Thought-provoking article on a post-peak oil future and the cyclical patterns of descent that will follow.

Organic food is better for our health. On the flipside, some of it is less energy efficient, producing more emissions.

A collection of audio and video covering Peak Oil, some of it on mainstream media such as CNBC, that you should go and check out right now.

Energy efficiency labelling for all electronic goods is not a bad idea. I can’t count the number of times when I’ve had to try and peer behind equipment to find an indication of its power usage.

Belgian minister for Energy Marc Verwilghen has just got himself a giant gas-guzzling Audi Q7 (pdf) that emits between 282 to 326 grammes of CO2 per km. Meanwhile, Europe is trying to get emissions down to 120g/km, nice example from above. Oh yeah, and Al Gore has the electricity bill of a small village.

Abu Dhabi is going to build a large-scale 500 megawatt solar power plant. If even people in the world’s biggest oil exporting territory are acting now, you know the signs are here.

Australia is the first country to make a move against incandescent light bulbs, banning them completely by 2009 in favour of energy-saving compact fluorescents.

As if things weren’t crazy enough, some people are installing snow-making machines in their gardens.

Get this: the cars are not part of the solution (whether they run on fossil fuels, vodka, used frymax oil, or cow shit). They are at the heart of the problem. And trying to salvage the entire Happy Motoring system by shifting it from gasoline to other fuels will only make things much worse.

Start thinking beyond the car

Good energy-saving move from Microsoft on getting sleep mode right in Vista. It’s a shame they’re selling it in a plastic box though.

A sobering if not downright alarming view from Dmitry Orlov of the possible future that awaits us in a world of resource depletion and global warming

Scientists and economists have been offered $10,000 each by an Exxon-funded lobby group to undermine a major climate change report due to be published today.

Head, meet sand

Thanks to all the people who’ve been endlessly forwarding me an invitation to switch off the lights tomorrow for a few minutes before 8pm in order to “create global awareness of the climate and energy situation”. You can stop now, really.

If you want to act, switch the damn things off most of the time and use low-energy bulbs when you can’t. Don’t leave your TV on standby, don’t drive you car to the corner shop, take the heating down a notch, give up on flying halfway across the world just because you can.

You know the story, but you don’t want to hear it. It’s much easier to participate in some feel-good action than actually doing something. The problem with doing something being that you have to sacrifice some of that comfort you’ve gotten so used to.

Have a good answer ready when your kids ask you why you didn’t do anything even though you knew, because that question is coming.

It’s not about going back to the stone age, just making some adjustments. We’re all guilty of not doing enough, but let’s at least do something with a bit more impact than being in the dark for 5 minutes. Every time I get that email I’m reminded of a BMW X5 I recently saw sporting a Greenpeace sticker.

A small decrease in oil prices doesn’t mean oil is suddenly plentiful again.

Last year, half of the world's 44 main oil-producing nations produced less oil than they did the year before. The chain of peaks is beginning to take on Himalayan proportions

More mainstream media on peak oil

Peak Oil gets mainstream and hits the pages of Nature magazine.

However, all in all, most would appear to agree that peak oil output is not very far away for all of us.

From the latest OPEC news bulletin

The modern automobile uses just one percent of its energy to move its occupants, the rest is used to move the big hunk of metal and glass that it is, power the gadgets, and a big chunk is simply lost as heat.

French examples of how many companies/agencies basically prostitute the environment in their advertising messages.

Texas-based Exxon is trying to influence opinion-makers in Brussels because Europe - rather than the US - is the driving force for action on climate change.

How low can Exxon go

Another depressing hint at the future for Saudi oil production

Placing a wind turbine on your roof will make a great fashion statement to your neighbours but won’t help much in reducing your emissions. On the other hand, the less sexy option of insulation will have a much stronger effect.

Interesting article at Wired on the future of solar power.

Are today’s suburbs destined to become the slums of the future? Watch the end of suburbia, a very interesting documentary on peak oil which is now viewable for free online.

The city of Oakland, California aims to be oil independent by 2020. I have difficulty imagining a Belgian city making a bold move like that.

A recent document from Eurostat (PDF) shows that Belgium is the second highest energy consumer per capita in Europe, just behind Finland. And, let’s face it, they need it much more than we do here.

On top of that Belgium is 80% dependant on external sources for its energy needs. How about that as a future recipe for disaster?

An interesting post on peak oil and how everyone sees a mirror of sorts in it, with their post-peak vision basically being a form of wishful thinking based on their personal worldview.

Mass-production of biofuels could trigger more intensive agriculture on a worldwide scale and end up doing more harm than good to the environment.

The BBC is running a great radio series concerning oil politics called Driven By Oil. The first episode talks about peak oil. Well worth a listen.

The Empty Tank (Jeremy Leggett)

cover

Jeremy Leggett is a geologist who worked inside the big oil companies for years before jumping ship to Greenpeace and finally setting up his own renewable energy company. In this book, he lays out his arguments for an early peak in oil production combined with the ongoing climate crisis and their implications on our way of life. He doesn't paint a pretty picture but the facts are there and his insider knowledge tends to confirm the well-held beliefs that changes will not come from above. He sees future energy prices and lack of forward-thinking pushing us back into exploiting coal and other dirty fuels, thus accelerating climate and economic instability. It's not all gloom though, he sees renewable energy setting us back on track but only after crossing a very depressive post-cheap-oil era. Basically: we'll fall right down before we can stand up again. Worth the read if only for the insider oil stories. Note: this book is also sold under the title 'half gone'. [link]

I deeply question the morality of responding to a crisis by running in the opposite direction and leaving everyone else to stew.

Rob Hopkins on peak oil survivalists

That’s impressive: if half of British homes buy a plasma-screen TV, two nuclear power stations would have to be built to meet the extra energy demand.

A retired senior energy expert from the National Iranian Oil Co. says no more business as usual, peak oil is here now but politicians ignore bad news and the media ignore it for reasons of income.

Is BP’s Prudhoe Bay pipeline shutdown more serious than it seems or is it just smart timing?

We're cooking our planet to refrigerate the diminishing part that's still habitable

The deluded world of air conditioning

It was pure luck that there was not a meltdown. Since the electricity supply from the network didn't work as it should have, it could have been a catastrophe

on the recent nuclear shutdown in Sweden

Global warming is showing the limits of nuclear power plants, and nuclear power is destroying our environment

Stephane Lhomme on the heat wave

Looks like the oil production plateau is upon us. And with the Cantarell field presenting signs of decline, the first symptoms may be showing…

Could global warming kill the Internet? Yup.

Interesting short film by Greenpeace on decentralised energy, a better solution than going all-out on nuclear and keeping bad habits.

Following oil from the pump back to its origins and the crisis it involves.

By some estimates, 5 billion of the world's 6½ billion population would never have been able to live without the blessed effects of fossil fuels, and oil in particular

waiting for the lights to go out

Every single calorie we eat is backed by at least a calorie of oil, more like ten

Richard Manning on the oil we eat

Hold on to that cathode ray tube TV a bit longer if you can.

An Open Letter to Greg Palast on Peak Oil

you don't make a new mess until you have cleared up the old one

George Monbiot on nuclear power

The world has gone insane on a nuclear level.

A former National Iranian Oil Company executive says the global oil production peak has been reached.

We have more than enough oil, not to mention coal, to completely destroy the habitability of the planet. The real constraint on oil and coal is not supply, but global warming.

Al Gore in Rolling Stone

Have we already reached peak oil? Some experts believe the oil crisis is only 3 years away.

We do not have the luxury of time to allow individuals to save the world

Stephen Tindale on efficient light bulbs

Our old friend coal is coming back with a vengeance.

The BBC asks leading experts for their forecasts on cities of the future. Recurring themes are polarisation between those who have and those who don’t, climate change and energy problems.

French oil company Total Fina is warning we’ll hit peak oil in 2020. With the big guys now talking about oil production limits, hopefully more people will take their head out of the sand.

Straight out of a cyberpunk novel: Russia is to build floating nuclear power stations. That seems like a bad idea in so many ways.

Pull your head out of the last century and make a real choice

Clever Chimp on car culture

The answer appears to be a clear no. Not by a long shot.

Dr. Millar on replacing oil with other fuels